Bénabou, Roland, and Jean Tirole. “Mindful economics: The production, consumption, and value of beliefs." Journal of Economic Perspectives 30.3 (2016): 141-64. [PDF] aeaweb.org
人類的 heuristics and biases (Tversky and Kahneman 1974)
(as discussed in a “Symposium on Overconfidence” in the Fall 2015 issue of this journal)
YNY: moderate overconfidence can be helpful to enhance people’s ability to do things and interact with others successfully. Overoptimistic individuals often work more, save more, expect to retire later, and much healthier.
- confirmation bias,
- distorted probability weighting
本文回顧 growing literature on motivated beliefs and reasoning
==cited by Bruno S. Frey==
[This article] provides a most useful survey of recent insights of psychology but also makes a successful effort to integrate them into economics. They deal with heuristics and biases inconsistent with the standard homo oeconomicus such as over-confidence, confirmation bias, distorted probability weighting, and other cognitive mistakes.